Cold and rain hits summer retail sales

David Lonsdale
David Lonsdale

Retail sales in Scotland have been hit by the poor summer weather and fallen for the first time in three months.

Experts claim the lack of sun had been more of a factor in the downturn than “prolonged post-Brexit blues”.

Total retail sales between July 3 and July 30 fell 1.8 per cent across Scotland compared to the same period last year, according to the KPMG Scottish retail sales monitor report.



Food was down by 1.6 per cent and purchases of non-food items fell by 1.9 per cent while the online adjusted non-food figure increased by 0.1 per cent.

David Lonsdale, Director, Scottish Retail Consortium said: “Total retail sales in Scotland - once adjusted for falling shop prices - eased down last month which was unfortunate after two successive months of growth. Grocery sales slipped following three consecutive months of improvement, and non-food sales faltered as a result of declines in clothing and footwear despite heavy end of season discounting. The chief bright spot was the electricals category where sales of TVs and mobile phones performed well.

“It is possible that more prolonged post-Brexit blues in Scotland may perhaps have affected consumer confidence and been a contributing factor to the dip in retail sales, however in reality thus far little has materially changed for most households in the wake of the referendum. Regardless, Scotland’s retailers remain open for business and the EU poll, grey weather and the profound structural, economic and regulatory changes affecting the industry are not deterring retailers from their relentless pursuit of delivering for customers day in, day out. However these figures do reinforce the need for the Scottish Government to deliver tangible action in their upcoming Scottish Budget to assist consumer confidence and to help retailers become more productive and competitive.”

David McCorquodale
David McCorquodale

David McCorquodale, Head of Retail, KPMG, said:It’s far too early to call the Scottish sales figures for July a barometer of the Brexit vote impact. The consequences, good or bad, will take some time to be negotiated and even longer to be felt in the consumer’s purse. Rather, the weather was, as ever, the driver across the board and deflation was the co-driver in the food segment.

“Whilst the south of the UK benefitted from a longer heatwave, Scottish weather was more unsettled and, consequently, footwear and fashion sales were more subdued and took a greater degree of promotions to shift. The other non-food category remained solid, with electricals and the home categories faring relatively well. Although the impact of the weather saw food sales fall, when adjusted for deflation, sales were sufficient to drive the 12-month average to its best showingin two years.

“Looking forward, back to school is the next event to drive sales whilst retailers across the board will focus their efforts on productivity and cost control.”

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